Provincetown is a Democratic stronghold. About 85% of voters here vote Democratic and 15% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Provincetown typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Provincetown, ~73% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Provincetown compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Provincetown is the most Democratic-leaning.
Provincetown runs about 44 points more Democratic than Massachusetts as a whole.
Why Provincetown leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Provincetown, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 54% of residents in Provincetown live in densely developed areas, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Provincetown sits in the top quarter (about 65%, above 98% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 32% of adults in Provincetown have never been married, above 81% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Provincetown, MA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Provincetown looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Provincetown is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Provincetown have completed high school, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Truro, MA D+40
- Truro, MA D+40
- Wellfleet, MA D+50
- South Wellfleet, MA D+51
- North Eastham, MA D+30
- Eastham, MA D+31
- Orleans, MA D+38
- Brewster, MA D+29
- East Dennis, MA D+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lincoln, ND R+50
- Rice, TX R+31
- Lima, NY R+15
- Southern Shops, SC Even
- New Ringgold, PA R+48
- Tornillo, TX Even
- North Pole, AK R+17
- Indian Rocks Beach, FL R+21
- Pittsfield, ME R+29
- Double Springs, AL R+84
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.