Lock Haven leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Lock Haven typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lock Haven, ~24% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lock Haven compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lock Haven leans more Republican than 3 of 76 neighbors.
Lock Haven runs about 28 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lock Haven. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+55), a spread of about 59 points.
Why Lock Haven leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lock Haven, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lock Haven votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 57%, well above the Pennsylvania average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Lock Haven, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lock Haven looks the way it does
Turnout in Lock Haven sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dunnstown, PA R+54
- Flemington, PA R+44
- Queens Run, PA R+50
- Salona, PA R+61
- Swissdale, PA R+59
- McElhattan, PA R+48
- Mill Hall, PA R+55
- Woolrich, PA R+54
- Rote, PA R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Chicago Ridge, IL R+3
- Cottonwood, CA R+46
- San Elizario, TX D+12
- Red Bank, TN R+7
- Budd Lake, NJ Even
- Artondale, WA D+8
- St. Ann, MO D+25
- Loris, SC R+37
- Hickory Hills, IL R+11
- Bedford, MA D+41
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.