Locust Bayou is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Locust Bayou typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Locust Bayou, ~6% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Locust Bayou compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Locust Bayou leans more Republican than 46 of 47 neighbors.
Locust Bayou runs about 46 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Locust Bayou leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Locust Bayou, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 76% of households in Locust Bayou are family households, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Locust Bayou, AR does.
Why turnout in Locust Bayou looks the way it does
Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 95% of adults in Locust Bayou have completed high school, above 76% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lakeside, AR R+66
- East Camden, AR R+53
- Cullendale, AR R+39
- Woodberry, AR R+69
- Camden, AR R+4
- Harmony Grove, AR R+58
- Hampton, AR R+56
- Snow Hill, AR R+72
- Eagle Mills, AR R+43
- Kent, AR R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sharp Place, TN R+67
- Aladdin, WY R+80
- Gethsemane, KY R+61
- Gatewood, MO R+73
- North Norwich, NY R+45
- Edmon, PA R+65
- Wynoose, IL R+70
- Venice Center, NY R+31
- Lobeco, SC D+3
- St. Helens, KY R+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.