Lower Garden District leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Lower Garden District typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lower Garden District, ~47% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lower Garden District compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Lower Garden District leans more Democratic than 5 of 31 neighbors.
Lower Garden District runs about 69 points more Democratic than Louisiana as a whole. Louisiana leans Republican overall, while Lower Garden District is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Lower Garden District. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+50) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+40), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Lower Garden District leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lower Garden District, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 71% of adults in Lower Garden District hold a bachelor's degree, about 43 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in Lower Garden District have never been married, above 82% of neighborhoods. Lower Garden District runs against the grain of Louisiana, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Lower Garden District, New Orleans, LA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lower Garden District looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lower Garden District is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Central City, New Orleans, LA D+72
- Irish Channel, New Orleans, LA D+62
- Central Business District, New Orleans, LA D+50
- Milan, New Orleans, LA D+62
- French Quarter, New Orleans, LA D+46
- Tulane Gravier, New Orleans, LA D+70
- Broadmoor, New Orleans, LA D+68
- Uptown, New Orleans, LA D+46
- Treme' Lafitte, New Orleans, LA D+76
- West Riverside, New Orleans, LA D+46
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Moss Bay, Kirkland, WA D+45
- Potomac Yard-Potomac Greens, Alexandria, VA D+58
- Westbury, Houston, TX D+43
- North End, Beaumont, TX D+71
- Southeast, Brentwood, TN Even
- Westside, Missoula, MT D+35
- East Liberty, Pittsburgh, PA D+82
- West Hill, Albany, NY D+66
- Buffalo Charles, Detroit, MI D+14
- Bemis, Watertown Town, MA D+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Louisiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.