Lubbock County leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Lubbock County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lubbock County, ~22% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lubbock County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Lubbock County is the least Republican-leaning.
Lubbock County runs about 9 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Lubbock County. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+13) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+46), a spread of about 59 points.
Why Lubbock County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lubbock County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lubbock County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 80%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lubbock County, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Lubbock County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lubbock County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 42% of households in Lubbock County rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Lynn County, TX R+61
- Hockley County, TX R+63
- Crosby County, TX R+50
- Terry County, TX R+49
- Garza County, TX R+30
- Lamb County, TX R+57
- Hale County, TX R+44
- Floyd County, TX R+50
- Cochran County, TX R+47
- Dawson County, TX R+47
Counties with Similar Populations
- McHenry County, IL R+5
- Northampton County, PA Even
- Lorain County, OH R+5
- Rockingham County, NH D+6
- Albany County, NY D+30
- Cumberland County, ME D+29
- Gloucester County, NJ R+2
- St. Louis City, MO D+65
- Escambia County, FL R+13
- Greene County, MO R+18
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.