Hale County leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Hale County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hale County, ~14% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hale County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Hale County leans more Republican than 2 of 7 neighbors.
Hale County runs about 30 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Hale County. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+80) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 52 points.
Why Hale County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hale County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hale County votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 59%, well above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Hale County sits in the bottom quarter (about 16%, below 84% of counties). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 69% of households in Hale County are family households, above 76% of counties.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hale County, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Hale County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hale County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 8 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in Hale County rent, above 91% of counties. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in Hale County have completed high school, below 98% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Floyd County, TX R+50
- Swisher County, TX R+48
- Lamb County, TX R+57
- Briscoe County, TX R+71
- Crosby County, TX R+50
- Castro County, TX R+40
- Lubbock County, TX R+23
- Hockley County, TX R+63
- Motley County, TX R+75
- Bailey County, TX R+49
Counties with Similar Populations
- Dorchester County, MD R+9
- Logan County, WV R+66
- Jackson County, OH R+58
- Evangeline Parish, LA R+39
- Lassen County, CA R+37
- Chester County, SC R+16
- Juneau City and Borough, AK D+22
- Jefferson Davis Parish, LA R+60
- Henry County, TN R+55
- Lyon County, KS R+14
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.