Lyle leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Lyle typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lyle, ~14% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lyle compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lyle leans more Republican than 33 of 53 neighbors.
Lyle runs about 45 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Lyle is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Lyle leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lyle, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lyle votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Lyle runs about 45 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Lyle sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 76% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Lyle, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lyle looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lyle is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Otranto, IA R+38
- London, MN R+41
- Johnsburg, MN R+41
- St. Ansgar, IA R+34
- Carpenter, IA R+39
- Austin Acres, MN R+21
- Rose Creek, MN R+32
- Stacyville, IA R+47
- Toeterville, IA R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Holden Beach, NC R+37
- Meadow Grove, NE R+72
- Calypso, NC R+47
- Little Rapids, WI R+22
- Bailey Lakes, OH R+61
- Center Grove, AR R+74
- Cairo, OH R+66
- Mesa, MS R+13
- Funkstown, MD R+15
- Bellwood, FL R+46
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.