Mesa leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Mesa typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mesa, ~35% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mesa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mesa leans more Republican than 5 of 42 neighbors.
Mesa runs about 10 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mesa. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+14) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+51), a spread of about 65 points.
Why Mesa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mesa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Mesa hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Mississippi average of 19%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Mesa, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Mesa looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Mesa own their home, about 15 points above the Mississippi average of 77%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Mesa sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tylertown, MS R+21
- Barto, MS D+16
- Lexie, MS R+44
- Salem, MS R+49
- Holmesville, MS R+25
- Enon, MS R+23
- Knoxo, MS D+8
- Progress, MS R+16
- Warnerton, LA R+27
- Kokomo, MS R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Center Grove, AR R+74
- Funkstown, MD R+15
- Little Rapids, WI R+22
- Bailey Lakes, OH R+61
- Bellwood, FL R+46
- Calypso, NC R+47
- Holden Beach, NC R+37
- Meadow Grove, NE R+72
- Cairo, OH R+66
- Oak Forest, KY R+68
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.