Magnolia Springs leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 97% of adults in Magnolia Springs typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Magnolia Springs, ~31% vote Democratic, ~66% Republican, and ~3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Magnolia Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Magnolia Springs leans more Republican than 20 of 36 neighbors.
Magnolia Springs runs about 22 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Magnolia Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Magnolia Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 89% of households in Magnolia Springs are family households, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Magnolia Springs runs against that pattern.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Magnolia Springs, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Magnolia Springs looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Magnolia Springs is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Magnolia Springs own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Magnolia Springs have completed high school, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Green Cove Springs, FL R+38
- Fruit Cove, FL R+30
- Fleming Island, FL R+34
- Russell, FL R+48
- Walkill, FL R+69
- Hibernia, FL R+65
- West Tocoi, FL R+63
- Asbury Lake, FL R+48
- Sherwood Forest, FL R+27
- World Golf Village, FL R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Stanton, PA R+34
- Pleasant Valley, WV R+39
- Seale, AL R+28
- Lomira, WI R+40
- Pleak, TX R+8
- Pocasset, MA D+17
- Munising, MI R+12
- Brooks, KY R+51
- Hustonville, KY R+66
- Litchfield, OH R+47
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.