Fruit Cove leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 94% of adults in Fruit Cove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fruit Cove, ~33% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fruit Cove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fruit Cove leans more Republican than 15 of 34 neighbors.
Fruit Cove runs about 17 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fruit Cove. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+22), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Fruit Cove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fruit Cove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Fruit Cove votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 64%, modestly above the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 86% of households in Fruit Cove are family households, above 97% of cities.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Fruit Cove, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Fruit Cove looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Fruit Cove is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Fruit Cove have completed high school, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Magnolia Springs, FL R+35
- Fleming Island, FL R+34
- Sherwood Forest, FL R+27
- Green Cove Springs, FL R+38
- Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace, FL R+8
- Orange Park, FL R+23
- Lakeside, FL R+28
- Russell, FL R+48
- Ponte Vedra, FL R+26
- World Golf Village, FL R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lewis Center, OH D+8
- Crowley, TX R+10
- Studio City, CA D+44
- Atascadero, CA R+7
- Searcy, AR R+44
- Greenville, MS D+57
- San Carlos, CA D+57
- Anthem, AZ R+24
- Dania Beach, FL D+10
- Niles, IL R+7
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.