Magnolia Springs is a Republican stronghold. About 11% of voters here vote Democratic and 89% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Magnolia Springs typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Magnolia Springs, ~8% vote Democratic, ~66% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Magnolia Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Magnolia Springs leans more Republican than 26 of 30 neighbors.
Magnolia Springs runs about 64 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Magnolia Springs. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+80) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+64), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Magnolia Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Magnolia Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Magnolia Springs, about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 9% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Texas average of 26%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Magnolia Springs, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Magnolia Springs looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Magnolia Springs is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 7 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Roganville, TX R+72
- Mount Union, TX R+70
- Bleakwood, TX R+64
- Bon Ami, TX R+77
- Kirbyville, TX R+62
- Jasper, TX R+17
- Spurger, TX R+84
- Pine Grove, TX R+80
- Call, TX R+72
- Holly Springs, TX R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Union, IA R+47
- Zenith Heights, MI R+15
- Lake Buckhorn, OH R+70
- Bowling Green, IN R+61
- Wardsboro, VT D+5
- Ballantine, MT R+64
- Dowell, IL R+54
- Doyle, CA R+51
- Millheim, TX R+68
- Rolling Fields, KY D+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.