Main City, MO Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Main City

Main City is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.

 
Main City, MO block-group political-lean map
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About 86% of adults in Main City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Main City, ~16% vote Democratic, ~70% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Main City, MO block-group voter-turnout map
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How Main City compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Main City leans more Republican than 37 of 54 neighbors.

Main City runs about 43 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.

Why Main City leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Main City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Main City live in densely developed areas, about 16 points below the Missouri average of 22%.

High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout

Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Main City, MO does.

Why turnout in Main City looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Main City own their home, about 15 points above the Missouri average of 78%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Main City have completed high school, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.