Alchesay Flat leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Alchesay Flat typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Alchesay Flat, ~25% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Alchesay Flat compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Alchesay Flat leans more Democratic than 13 of 15 neighbors.
Alchesay Flat runs about 12 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Alchesay Flat. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+55) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+44), a spread of about 98 points.
Why Alchesay Flat leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Alchesay Flat, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 48% of adults in Alchesay Flat have never been married, well above similar-sized cities (around 24%).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Alchesay Flat, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Alchesay Flat looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 25% of adults in Alchesay Flat report food insecurity, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fort McDowell, AZ D+43
- Fountain Hills, AZ R+21
- Rio Verde, AZ R+26
- Goldfield, AZ R+47
- Scottsdale, AZ R+3
- Apache Junction, AZ R+28
- Mesa, AZ R+7
- Paradise Valley, AZ R+15
- Carefree, AZ R+26
- Higley, AZ R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fraser, IA R+32
- St. Clere, KS R+50
- Rye Cove, VA R+76
- Grogan, MN R+48
- Summertown, GA R+21
- Big Springs, SD R+47
- Richfield, IL R+69
- Valle Escondido, NM D+48
- Moreland, NY R+34
- Haddam, KS R+76
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.