Manhattan, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Manhattan

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Manhattan is a Democratic stronghold. About 81% of voters here vote Democratic and 19% Republican.

 

About 55% of adults in Manhattan typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manhattan, ~45% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Manhattan compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Manhattan leans more Democratic than 312 of 323 neighbors.

Manhattan runs about 49 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Manhattan. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+75) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+59), a spread of about 16 points.

Why Manhattan leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manhattan, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Manhattan live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Manhattan sits in the top quarter (about 64%, above 98% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in Manhattan have never been married, above 98% of cities.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Manhattan, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Manhattan looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 76% of households in Manhattan rent, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 5% of homes in Manhattan have more than one occupant per room, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.