Manley Hot Springs leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 65% of adults in Manley Hot Springs typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manley Hot Springs, ~26% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manley Hot Springs compares
Manley Hot Springs runs about 6 points more Republican than Alaska as a whole.
Why Manley Hot Springs leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Manley Hot Springs. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Manley Hot Springs, AK does.
Why turnout in Manley Hot Springs looks the way it does
Turnout in Manley Hot Springs sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Minto, AK D+17
- Tanana, AK D+19
- Nenana, AK R+18
- Anderson, AK R+32
- Clear, AK R+37
- Ester, AK D+21
- College, AK Even
- Fairbanks, AK D+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alexander, IL R+54
- Keyesville, WI R+22
- James City, PA R+51
- Upton, PA R+59
- South Lebanon, NY R+34
- McAlevys Fort, PA R+52
- Macedon, OH R+74
- Robin Hood Lakes, PA R+34
- Forney, OK R+57
- Melrude, MN R+4
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.