Minto leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 43% of adults in Minto typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Minto, ~25% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Minto compares
Minto runs about 30 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Minto is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Minto. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+19) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+19), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Minto leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Minto, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 66% of adults in Minto have never been married, far above similar-sized cities (around 25%). Minto runs against the grain of Alaska, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Minto, AK sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Minto looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 42% of households in Minto rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Minto report food insecurity, above 87% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Minto sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Manley Hot Springs, AK R+19
- Ester, AK D+21
- Nenana, AK R+18
- College, AK Even
- Fairbanks, AK D+5
- Farmers Loop, AK R+18
- South Van Horn, AK R+19
- Fort Wainwright, AK R+22
- Steele Creek, AK R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fritchton, IN R+61
- Wende, AL D+35
- London, MN R+41
- Wendell, NH D+4
- Lockhart, MN R+38
- Oakton, KY R+52
- Ridgeville, TN R+69
- Rasselas, PA R+50
- Randolph, IN R+63
- LeRoy, WI R+47
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.