Marcy Holmes is a Democratic stronghold. About 80% of voters here vote Democratic and 20% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Marcy Holmes typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Marcy Holmes, ~46% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Marcy Holmes compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Marcy Holmes leans more Democratic than 5 of 52 neighbors.
Marcy Holmes runs about 55 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Marcy Holmes. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+73) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+50), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Marcy Holmes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Marcy Holmes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 86% of adults in Marcy Holmes have never been married, far above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 45%). High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Marcy Holmes sits in the top quarter (about 62%, above 83% of neighborhoods).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Marcy Holmes, Minneapolis, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Marcy Holmes looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 92% of households in Marcy Holmes rent, about 67 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 7% of homes in Marcy Holmes have more than one occupant per room, above 85% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Marcy Holmes sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Downtown East, Minneapolis, MN D+65
- University District, Minneapolis, MN D+54
- Southeast Como, Minneapolis, MN D+66
- Cedar-Riverside, Minneapolis, MN D+66
- Downtown West, Minneapolis, MN D+61
- Elliot Park, Minneapolis, MN D+63
- Prospect Park, Minneapolis, MN D+70
- Seward, Minneapolis, MN D+78
- North Loop, Minneapolis, MN D+65
- Ventura Village, Minneapolis, MN D+62
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Westwood, Denver, CO D+39
- Mid City South, Baton Rouge, LA D+5
- Alamo Placita, Denver, CO D+64
- Frankford, Baltimore, MD D+81
- Greystone, Birmingham, AL R+29
- Grays Ferry, Philadelphia, PA D+62
- La Sierra South, Riverside, CA Even
- Back Creek Church Road, Charlotte, NC D+62
- Central Omaha, Omaha, NE D+24
- Rose Garden, San Jose, CA D+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.