Matagorda is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Matagorda typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Matagorda, ~11% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Matagorda compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Matagorda leans more Republican than 14 of 15 neighbors.
Matagorda runs about 58 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Matagorda. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+58), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Matagorda leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Matagorda, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Matagorda live in densely developed areas, about 33 points below the Texas average of 35%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Matagorda, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Matagorda looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Matagorda own their home, about 16 points above the Texas average of 75%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Matagorda sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wadsworth, TX R+67
- Collegeport, TX R+60
- Buckeye, TX R+35
- Elmaton, TX R+72
- Palacios, TX R+45
- Bay City, TX R+20
- Caney, TX R+38
- Markham, TX R+50
- Blessing, TX R+54
- Hawkinsville, TX R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hurstville, IA R+42
- Lorne, VA R+8
- Tress Shop, KY R+63
- Gifford, AR R+65
- Ward, SD R+39
- Ryan, MI R+43
- Bald Eagle, PA R+53
- Ross, TX R+73
- Hogglesville, AL R+29
- Dull, TN R+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.