Mayflower leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Mayflower typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mayflower, ~14% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mayflower compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mayflower leans more Republican than 25 of 58 neighbors.
Mayflower runs about 19 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mayflower. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+61) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 35 points.
Why Mayflower leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mayflower, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in Mayflower are family households, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Mayflower, AR does.
Why turnout in Mayflower looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 20% of adults in Mayflower report food insecurity, above 80% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Little Italy, AR R+47
- Roland, AR R+31
- Maumelle, AR D+11
- Conway, AR R+13
- Saltillo, AR R+63
- Pinnacle, AR R+37
- Fourche, AR R+57
- New Dixie, AR R+58
- Bigelow, AR R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Duquesne, PA D+57
- Isle Of Palms, SC R+14
- Cutler, CA D+19
- Springhill, LA R+24
- Mills, WY R+57
- Southgate, KY R+4
- Grand Saline, TX R+65
- King City, OR D+27
- Chinle, AZ D+61
- Corinth, NY R+28
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.