Little Italy leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Little Italy typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Little Italy, ~15% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Little Italy compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Little Italy leans more Republican than 22 of 51 neighbors.
Little Italy runs about 17 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Little Italy. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+68) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Little Italy leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Little Italy, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in Little Italy are family households, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Little Italy, AR sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Little Italy looks the way it does
Turnout in Little Italy sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Roland, AR R+31
- Mayflower, AR R+50
- Wye, AR R+50
- Fourche, AR R+57
- Bigelow, AR R+58
- Pinnacle, AR R+37
- New Dixie, AR R+58
- Maumelle, AR D+11
- Houston, AR R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Round Bottom, VA R+71
- Round Prairie, IL R+78
- Neva, TN R+66
- Willow Creek, MT R+52
- Nelson, PA R+61
- Marenisco, MI R+25
- Brownsdale, FL R+84
- Fruitland, MO R+63
- South Owego, NY R+30
- Coleharbor, ND R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.