McGinley Square, Jersey City, NJ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in McGinley Square

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

McGinley Square leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.

 

About 45% of adults in McGinley Square typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in McGinley Square, ~33% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How McGinley Square compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, McGinley Square leans more Democratic than 6 of 31 neighbors.

McGinley Square runs about 41 points more Democratic than New Jersey as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by block within McGinley Square. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+65) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+28), a spread of about 36 points.

Why McGinley Square leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for McGinley Square, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in McGinley Square live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in McGinley Square have never been married, above 75% of neighborhoods.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; McGinley Square, Jersey City, NJ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in McGinley Square looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 79% of households in McGinley Square rent, about 54 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 10% of homes in McGinley Square have more than one occupant per room, above 91% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.