Bronxdale leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 43% of adults in Bronxdale typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bronxdale, ~28% vote Democratic, ~15% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bronxdale compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bronxdale leans more Democratic than 12 of 40 neighbors.
Bronxdale runs about 19 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Bronxdale. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+41) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+13), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Bronxdale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bronxdale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Bronxdale is about 15%, about 57 points below the U.S. average of 72%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Bronxdale, Bronx, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Bronxdale looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 83% of households in Bronxdale rent, about 58 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in Bronxdale report food insecurity, above 81% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Van Nest, Bronx, NY D+19
- Morris Park, Bronx, NY Even
- Williamsbridge, Bronx, NY D+47
- Parkchester, Bronx, NY D+35
- Belmont, Bronx, NY D+43
- West Farms, Bronx, NY D+44
- Baychester, Bronx, NY D+51
- Tremont, Bronx, NY D+43
- Fordham, Bronx, NY D+36
- Middletown-Pelham Bay, Bronx, NY D+12
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Southwest, Columbus, OH Even
- McGinley Square, Jersey City, NJ D+47
- Taylor Ranch, Albuquerque, NM D+15
- East Central, Pasadena, CA D+42
- Richmond, Portland, OR D+87
- Mount Greenwood, Chicago, IL R+26
- Upper Vailsburg, Newark, NJ D+80
- The Waterfront, Jersey City, NJ D+48
- Wicker Park, Chicago, IL D+71
- Harder-Tennyson, Hayward, CA D+37
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.