Melville leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Melville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Melville, ~22% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Melville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Melville leans more Republican than 24 of 34 neighbors.
Melville runs about 38 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Melville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Melville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Melville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Melville votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Melville runs about 38 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Melville sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 85% of cities).
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Melville, OR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Melville looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 39% of households in Melville rent, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Miles Crossing, OR R+31
- West, OR Even
- Jeffers Garden, OR R+23
- Olney, OR R+20
- Gearhart, OR D+19
- Warrenton, OR R+7
- Astoria, OR D+14
- Fern Hill, OR R+20
- Seaside, OR D+16
- Hammond, OR R+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Casa Blanco, FL R+27
- Neptune, TN R+58
- Penfield, IL R+50
- Drake, MO R+65
- Roslyn, SD R+44
- Tappan, WV R+52
- George, OR R+30
- North Wellville, VA R+33
- Burlington, ME R+38
- Trumbull, NE R+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.