Menifee leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Menifee typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Menifee, ~19% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Menifee compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Menifee leans more Republican than 2 of 67 neighbors.
Menifee runs about 5 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Menifee. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Menifee leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Menifee. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Menifee, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Menifee looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Menifee is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Plumerville, AR R+35
- Wooster, AR R+61
- Springfield, AR R+62
- Overcup, AR R+61
- New Dixie, AR R+58
- Conway, AR R+13
- Republican, AR R+64
- Greenbrier, AR R+65
- Morrilton, AR R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Perry, LA R+72
- Flat Rock, OH R+55
- Osceola, WA R+21
- Wildflower, CA R+36
- Bath, SD R+57
- Towns, GA R+52
- Revloc, PA R+53
- Jessenland, MN R+42
- Mccurtain, OK R+75
- DePeyster, NY R+45
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.