Mexican Hat leans heavily Democratic by roughly 50 points: about 75% of voters vote Democratic and 25% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Mexican Hat typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mexican Hat, ~42% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mexican Hat compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mexican Hat leans more Democratic than 2 of 4 neighbors.
Mexican Hat runs about 71 points more Democratic than Utah as a whole. Utah leans Republican overall, while Mexican Hat is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mexican Hat. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+54) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+39), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Mexican Hat leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mexican Hat, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mexican Hat votes against the grain of Utah. Utah leans Republican overall, while Mexican Hat runs about 71 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in Mexican Hat have never been married, above 98% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Mexican Hat, UT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Mexican Hat looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mexican Hat is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 23 points below the Utah average of 68%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 46% of adults in Mexican Hat report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Mexican Hat sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Oljato-Monument Valley, AZ D+49
- Monument Valley, UT D+54
- Dennehotso, AZ D+57
- Bluff, UT D+15
- Kayenta, AZ D+49
- Rock Point, AZ D+61
- Teec Nos Pos, UT D+39
- Red Mesa, AZ D+54
- Tes Nez Iah, AZ D+51
- Teec Nos Pos, AZ D+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Satsuma, LA R+71
- Fertile, IA R+38
- Scaly Mountain, NC R+31
- Joslin, IL R+27
- Eagle Rock, MO R+62
- Campbell Hill, IL R+60
- Bimble, KY R+73
- Lynnville, IA R+54
- Greensburg, KS R+67
- Nona, TX R+78
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.