Red Mesa is a Democratic stronghold. About 77% of voters here vote Democratic and 23% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Red Mesa typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Red Mesa, ~47% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Red Mesa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Red Mesa leans more Democratic than 4 of 5 neighbors.
Red Mesa runs about 59 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Red Mesa is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Red Mesa. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+62) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+50), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Red Mesa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Red Mesa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Red Mesa votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Red Mesa runs about 59 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in Red Mesa have never been married, above 98% of cities.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Red Mesa, AZ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Red Mesa looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Red Mesa is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 12 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 39% of adults in Red Mesa report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in Red Mesa have completed high school, below 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Teec Nos Pos, AZ D+54
- Teec Nos Pos, UT D+39
- Rock Point, AZ D+61
- Red Valley, AZ D+36
- Bluff, UT D+15
- Round Rock, AZ D+63
- Montezuma Creek, UT D+39
- Aneth, UT D+40
- Dennehotso, AZ D+57
- Beclabito, NM D+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tiro, OH R+69
- Hornby, PA R+44
- Fleischmanns, NY R+5
- Boulder Junction, WI R+18
- Everly, IA R+56
- Bangor, CA R+35
- New Hope, TN R+70
- Glasgow, WV R+43
- Garwin, IA R+37
- Plymouth, IL R+55
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.