Middlebury Center is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Middlebury Center typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Middlebury Center, ~14% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Middlebury Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Middlebury Center leans more Republican than 62 of 86 neighbors.
Middlebury Center runs about 60 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Middlebury Center. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+48), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Middlebury Center leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Middlebury Center. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Middlebury Center, PA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Middlebury Center looks the way it does
Turnout in Middlebury Center sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Niles Valley, PA R+62
- Shortsville, PA R+62
- Stokesdale, PA R+51
- Cowanesque, PA R+49
- Little Marsh, PA R+62
- Tioga Junction, PA R+55
- Wellsboro, PA R+35
- Tioga, PA R+57
- Charleston, PA R+50
- Lambs Creek, PA R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zora, MO R+67
- Rocky Hill, MS D+23
- Forest Hill, OK R+70
- Riceville, PA R+51
- Wittensville, KY R+66
- Circle, MT R+68
- Orin, WY R+71
- Otis, MA D+6
- Weston, IA R+36
- Montrose, SD R+56
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.