Tioga Junction is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Tioga Junction typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tioga Junction, ~15% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tioga Junction compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tioga Junction leans more Republican than 40 of 97 neighbors.
Tioga Junction runs about 54 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tioga Junction. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+48), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Tioga Junction leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tioga Junction, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Tioga Junction votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 22%, modestly below the Pennsylvania average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Tioga Junction fits that profile on both counts.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Tioga Junction, PA sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Tioga Junction looks the way it does
Turnout in Tioga Junction sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tioga, PA R+57
- Somers Lane, PA R+58
- Lambs Creek, PA R+48
- Lawrenceville, PA R+54
- Nelson, PA R+61
- Kellytown, PA R+47
- Painter Run, PA R+51
- Jackson Summit, PA R+58
- Middlebury Center, PA R+62
- Niles Valley, PA R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- West Barre, NY R+51
- Wilseyville, CA R+26
- Koonsville, PA R+49
- Crossnore, NC R+54
- Alta, WY D+6
- Lucan, MN R+66
- Donnally Mills, PA R+60
- Bone Gap, IL R+72
- Cane Creek, NC R+56
- Bethera, SC R+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.