Middleton leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Middleton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Middleton, ~24% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Middleton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Middleton leans more Republican than 48 of 130 neighbors.
Middleton runs about 29 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why Middleton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Middleton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Middleton votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 26%, modestly below the Ohio average of 34%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Middleton, OH sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Middleton looks the way it does
Turnout in Middleton sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Columbiana, OH R+37
- New Waterford, OH R+53
- Signal, OH R+48
- Leetonia, OH R+50
- Washingtonville, OH R+49
- Elkton, OH R+44
- Unity, OH R+52
- New Springfield, OH R+46
- North Lima, OH R+31
- East Palestine, OH R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zack, AR R+72
- Zipperlandville, TX R+61
- Noel, OK R+63
- Columbiaville, NY R+18
- Pine Valley, PA R+58
- Cotesfield, NE R+69
- Hammett, GA Even
- Merrill, NY R+31
- Citra, OK R+74
- Minimum, MO R+63
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.