Merrill, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Merrill

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Merrill leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.

 

About 57% of adults in Merrill typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Merrill, ~19% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Merrill compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Merrill leans more Republican than 35 of 54 neighbors.

Merrill runs about 44 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Merrill is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Merrill. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+32) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 17 points.

Why Merrill leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Merrill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Merrill votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Merrill runs about 44 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Merrill sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 91% of cities).

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Merrill, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Merrill looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Merrill is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in Merrill report food insecurity, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.