Midland Beach leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Midland Beach typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midland Beach, ~19% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midland Beach compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Midland Beach leans more Republican than 13 of 20 neighbors.
Midland Beach runs about 46 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Midland Beach is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Midland Beach. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Midland Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midland Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Midland Beach votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Midland Beach runs about 46 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Midland Beach are family households, above 77% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Midland Beach, Staten Island, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Midland Beach looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 7% of homes in Midland Beach have more than one occupant per room, above 86% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Oakwood, Staten Island, NY R+41
- South Beach, Staten Island, NY R+33
- Todt Hill, Staten Island, NY R+26
- Concord, Staten Island, NY D+6
- Richmondtown, Staten Island, NY R+41
- Shore Acres, Staten Island, NY R+16
- Rosebank, Staten Island, NY R+12
- Great Kills, Staten Island, NY R+51
- Westerleigh-Castleton, Staten Island, NY R+32
- Clifton, Staten Island, NY D+33
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Campello, Brockton, MA D+41
- Springlake-University Terrace, Shreveport, LA R+12
- Mid City North, Baton Rouge, LA D+84
- Northampton, Hampton, VA D+35
- Battle Creek, St. Paul, MN D+39
- Washington Heights, Chicago, IL D+85
- Brentwood, Los Angeles, CA D+27
- Prospect Hill, San Antonio, TX D+39
- Olympia Heights, Miami, FL R+40
- Upper Roseville, Newark, NJ D+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.