Rosebank leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Rosebank typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rosebank, ~22% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rosebank compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Rosebank leans more Republican than 9 of 20 neighbors.
Rosebank runs about 25 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Rosebank is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Rosebank. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+21), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Rosebank leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rosebank, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rosebank votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Rosebank runs about 25 points more Republican.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Rosebank, Staten Island, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Rosebank looks the way it does
Turnout in Rosebank sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Shore Acres, Staten Island, NY R+16
- Concord, Staten Island, NY D+6
- Clifton, Staten Island, NY D+33
- South Beach, Staten Island, NY R+33
- Bay Ridge-Fort Hamilton, Brooklyn, NY D+9
- Sunset Hill, Staten Island, NY R+14
- New Brighton, Staten Island, NY D+36
- Todt Hill, Staten Island, NY R+26
- Midland Beach, Staten Island, NY R+33
- Dyker Heights, Brooklyn, NY R+20
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.