Midnight leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Midnight typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midnight, ~50% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midnight compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Midnight leans more Democratic than 30 of 53 neighbors.
Midnight runs about 38 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Midnight is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Midnight. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+30) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Midnight leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midnight, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 67% of residents in Midnight are Black or African American, about 30 points above the Mississippi average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Midnight have never been married, above 76% of cities. Midnight runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Midnight, MS sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Midnight looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Midnight is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 6%, about 54 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Louise, MS D+29
- Silver City, MS R+33
- Gooden Lake, MS R+55
- Murphy, MS R+30
- Carter, MS R+15
- Lake City, MS R+30
- Belzoni, MS D+73
- Willet, MS R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Meadow Creek, WV R+57
- Frisco, IL R+68
- Industry, KS R+69
- Indian Neck, VA R+8
- Ogallah, KS R+78
- Milo, WV R+63
- Carlos, MD R+48
- Dexter, IL R+66
- West View, VA R+50
- Spargursville, OH R+57
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.