Carlos leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Carlos typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carlos, ~21% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carlos compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carlos leans more Republican than 11 of 106 neighbors.
Carlos runs about 77 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Carlos is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carlos. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+60) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+48), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Carlos leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carlos, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 90% of residents in Carlos drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Carlos runs against the grain of Maryland, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Carlos, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Carlos looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Carlos own their home, about 18 points above the Maryland average of 77%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Carlos have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Midland, MD R+54
- Frostburg, MD R+19
- Lonaconing, MD R+59
- Midlothian, MD R+25
- Clarysville, MD R+45
- Finzel, MD R+57
- Nikep, MD R+63
- Moscow, MD R+61
- Bier, MD R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Peth, NY R+33
- Lillis, KS R+60
- Cowlesville, OH R+47
- Herring, WV R+60
- Caputa, SD R+67
- Milo, WV R+63
- Midnight, MS D+15
- La Joya, NM R+18
- Fullerton, AL R+80
- Shumway, AZ R+61
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.