Midway leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 44% of adults in Midway typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midway, ~25% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midway compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Midway leans more Democratic than 4 of 5 neighbors.
Midway runs about 6 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Midway. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+20) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Midway leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Midway. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Midway, Escondido, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Midway looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Midway is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 14% of homes in Midway have more than one occupant per room, above 95% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- East Grove, Escondido, CA D+5
- Central Escondido, Escondido, CA D+18
- North Broadway, Escondido, CA Even
- Felicita, Escondido, CA D+8
- Vineyard, Escondido, CA D+9
- Rancho Bernadino, San Diego, CA D+16
- University Commons, San Marcos, CA D+10
- Black Mountain Ranch, San Diego, CA D+16
- Carmel Mountain, San Diego, CA D+26
- Rancho Penasquitos, San Diego, CA D+21
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Visitacion Valley, San Francisco, CA D+36
- Cedar Brook, Philadelphia, PA D+90
- Southeast, Canal Winchester, OH D+33
- Forest Hill, Newark, NJ D+33
- Sand Lake, Anchorage, AK D+19
- Wharton-Hawthorne-Bella Vista, Philadelphia, PA D+60
- Rochdale Village, Queens, NY D+83
- Urbandale-Parkdale, Dallas, TX D+48
- South Baton Rouge, Baton Rouge, LA D+12
- Kingsessing, Philadelphia, PA D+88
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.