Midway leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Midway typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midway, ~24% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midway compares
Midway runs about 32 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Midway. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+37), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Midway leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midway, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Midway sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 85% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the Florida average of 60%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Midway are family households, above 80% of neighborhoods.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Midway, Gulf Breeze, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Midway looks the way it does
Turnout in Midway sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Downtown Pensacola, Pensacola, FL D+18
- Port Dixie, Lake Lorraine, FL R+23
- Rickarby, Mobile, AL D+72
- Carlen, Mobile, AL Even
- Gorgas, Mobile, AL D+90
- Navco, Mobile, AL D+77
- Park Place, Mobile, AL D+5
- Carver, Mobile, AL D+87
- Brookwood, Mobile, AL D+35
- Dauphin Acres, Mobile, AL D+32
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- SouthWest Santa Rosa, Santa Rosa, CA D+40
- South Berkeley, Berkeley, CA D+79
- Baker-Zachary Area, Baker, LA D+33
- Prosperity Church Road, Charlotte, NC D+55
- Magnolia, Seattle, WA D+72
- Drnag, San Bernardino, CA D+13
- East Arlington, Jacksonville, FL R+14
- East Sacramento, Sacramento, CA D+59
- Kailua Kona, Kailua-Kona, HI D+18
- Park Hill, Denver, CO D+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.