East Arlington leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 76% of adults in East Arlington typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Arlington, ~33% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Arlington compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, East Arlington leans more Republican than 7 of 15 neighbors.
Politically, East Arlington sits close to the rest of Florida.
Politics vary noticeably by block within East Arlington. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+26) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+7), a spread of about 20 points.
Why East Arlington leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in East Arlington. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; East Arlington, Jacksonville, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in East Arlington looks the way it does
Turnout in East Arlington sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Fort Caroline Shores, Jacksonville, FL R+29
- Girvin, Jacksonville, FL R+27
- Cobblestone, Jacksonville, FL R+5
- Hidden Hills, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Sandalwood, Jacksonville, FL R+6
- Golden Glades-The Woods, Jacksonville, FL R+17
- Atlantic Boulevard Estates, Jacksonville, FL D+4
- Beacon Hills and Harbour, Jacksonville, FL R+27
- Regency, Jacksonville, FL D+16
- Southsuide Estates, Jacksonville, FL R+18
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Drnag, San Bernardino, CA D+13
- Kailua Kona, Kailua-Kona, HI D+18
- Midway, Gulf Breeze, FL R+45
- SouthWest Santa Rosa, Santa Rosa, CA D+40
- South Berkeley, Berkeley, CA D+79
- Baker-Zachary Area, Baker, LA D+33
- Prosperity Church Road, Charlotte, NC D+55
- Magnolia, Seattle, WA D+72
- Maplewood, Rochester, NY D+46
- Waikiki, Honolulu, HI D+32
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.