Mineola is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Mineola typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mineola, ~19% vote Democratic, ~66% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mineola compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mineola leans more Republican than 15 of 48 neighbors.
Mineola runs about 38 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Mineola leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Mineola. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Mineola, MO does.
Why turnout in Mineola looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Mineola own their home, about 15 points above the Missouri average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Danville, MO R+59
- Readsville, MO R+52
- Williamsburg, MO R+53
- Montgomery City, MO R+49
- New Florence, MO R+57
- Rhineland, MO R+63
- Big Spring, MO R+60
- Bluffton, MO R+62
- Starkenburg, MO R+63
- Portland, MO R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hastings, IA R+49
- Bermudian, PA R+51
- Newby, OK R+66
- Vignes, WI R+22
- Parvin, PA R+63
- Shippensburg University, PA D+14
- Big Rock, OH R+62
- Hog Mountain, GA R+49
- Boyce, KY R+53
- Spencerville, MD D+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.