Minnetonka leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 98% of adults in Minnetonka typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Minnetonka, ~65% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~2% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Minnetonka compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Minnetonka leans more Democratic than 93 of 112 neighbors.
Minnetonka runs about 28 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Minnetonka. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+37) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+24), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Minnetonka leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Minnetonka, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 65% of adults in Minnetonka hold a bachelor's degree, about 37 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Minnetonka sits in the top fifth on density (about 88%, above 96% of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Minnetonka, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Minnetonka looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Minnetonka is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Minnetonka have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hopkins, MN D+43
- Woodland, MN D+13
- Deephaven, MN D+24
- Wayzata, MN D+18
- Medicine Lake, MN D+41
- St. Louis Park, MN D+51
- Greenwood, MN D+14
- Eden Prairie, MN D+28
- Edina, MN D+38
- Golden Valley, MN D+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Collierville, TN R+20
- Vero Beach, FL R+27
- Brookline, MA D+72
- Greenwood, SC R+10
- Greensburg, PA R+19
- Sebring, FL R+34
- New Iberia, LA R+24
- Olive Branch, MS R+12
- Crown Point, IN R+17
- Logan, UT R+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.