Medicine Lake leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Medicine Lake typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Medicine Lake, ~65% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Medicine Lake compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Medicine Lake leans more Democratic than 110 of 118 neighbors.
Medicine Lake runs about 37 points more Democratic than Minnesota as a whole.
Why Medicine Lake leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Medicine Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 60% of residents in Medicine Lake live in densely developed areas, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Medicine Lake sits in the top quarter (about 69%, above 98% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 38% of adults in Medicine Lake have never been married, above 92% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Medicine Lake, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Medicine Lake looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Medicine Lake is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Medicine Lake have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Golden Valley, MN D+44
- Plymouth, MN D+30
- New Hope, MN D+36
- Crystal, MN D+34
- St. Louis Park, MN D+51
- Wayzata, MN D+18
- Minnetonka, MN D+33
- Robbinsdale, MN D+46
- Hopkins, MN D+43
- Woodland, MN D+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Poughkeepsie, AR R+69
- Springer, OK R+65
- Kirkersville, OH R+42
- Jonah, TX R+26
- War, WV R+68
- Shumway, IL R+64
- Higgins Lake, MI R+22
- Middlesex, NY R+39
- St. Vincent College, PA R+14
- La Crosse, IN R+45
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.