Mitchell County leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Mitchell County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mitchell County, ~13% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mitchell County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Mitchell County leans more Republican than 1 of 7 neighbors.
Mitchell County runs about 36 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Mitchell County. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+81) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+64), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Mitchell County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mitchell County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 10% of adults in Mitchell County hold a bachelor's degree, about 15 points below the Texas average of 26%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 82% of residents in Mitchell County drive to work alone, above 84% of counties.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Mitchell County, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Mitchell County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mitchell County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 46%, about 8 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Mitchell County have completed high school, below 89% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Scurry County, TX R+66
- Nolan County, TX R+47
- Howard County, TX R+50
- Fisher County, TX R+67
- Sterling County, TX R+80
- Borden County, TX R+93
- Coke County, TX R+72
- Glasscock County, TX R+85
- Martin County, TX R+68
- Kent County, TX R+79
Counties with Similar Populations
- Crittenden County, KY R+68
- Kemper County, MS D+23
- Palo Alto County, IA R+44
- Turner County, GA R+19
- Phelps County, NE R+58
- Cuming County, NE R+63
- Stillwater County, MT R+57
- Cloud County, KS R+55
- Marshall County, MN R+53
- Dawson County, MT R+55
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.