Mobile County leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Mobile County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mobile County, ~30% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mobile County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Mobile County is the least Republican-leaning.
Mobile County runs about 23 points more Democratic than Alabama as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Mobile County. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+56) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+58), a spread of about 114 points.
Why Mobile County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mobile County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 82% of residents in Mobile County drive to work alone, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Mobile County, AL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Mobile County looks the way it does
Turnout in Mobile County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Baldwin County, AL R+53
- George County, MS R+78
- Jackson County, MS R+30
- Greene County, MS R+53
- Washington County, AL R+46
- Escambia County, FL R+13
- Harrison County, MS R+18
- Stone County, MS R+57
- Escambia County, AL R+38
- Perry County, MS R+58
Counties with Similar Populations
- Richland County, SC D+38
- Loudoun County, VA D+18
- Cameron County, TX R+2
- Charleston County, SC D+14
- Clackamas County, OR D+13
- Waukesha County, WI R+14
- Hillsborough County, NH D+11
- Genesee County, MI D+8
- St. Charles County, MO R+14
- Placer County, CA R+11
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.