Baldwin County is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Baldwin County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Baldwin County, ~18% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Baldwin County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Baldwin County is the most Republican-leaning.
Baldwin County runs about 23 points more Republican than Alabama as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Baldwin County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+82) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+44), a spread of about 39 points.
Why Baldwin County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Baldwin County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 69% of households in Baldwin County are family households, above 76% of counties.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Baldwin County, AL sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Baldwin County looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Baldwin County is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%, above 64% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Mobile County, AL R+8
- Escambia County, FL R+13
- Santa Rosa County, FL R+49
- Escambia County, AL R+38
- George County, MS R+78
- Jackson County, MS R+30
- Washington County, AL R+46
- Greene County, MS R+53
- Monroe County, AL R+23
- Okaloosa County, FL R+34
Counties with Similar Populations
- Oneida County, NY R+13
- Canyon County, ID R+40
- Lake County, OH R+11
- Linn County, IA D+7
- Smith County, TX R+28
- Berkeley County, SC R+13
- Brazos County, TX D+6
- Barnstable County, MA D+20
- Montgomery County, AL D+38
- Mahoning County, OH Even
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.