Mount Heron, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Mount Heron

Mount Heron is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.

 
Mount Heron, VA block-group political-lean map
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About 69% of adults in Mount Heron typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mount Heron, ~10% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Mount Heron, VA block-group voter-turnout map
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How Mount Heron compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Mount Heron leans more Republican than 87 of 142 neighbors.

Mount Heron runs about 76 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Mount Heron is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mount Heron. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+60), a spread of about 13 points.

Why Mount Heron leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mount Heron, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 5% of adults in Mount Heron hold a bachelor's degree, about 24 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Mount Heron runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Housing overcrowding and voter turnout

Places with low overcrowding tend to turn out at a higher rate; Mount Heron, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Mount Heron looks the way it does

Turnout in Mount Heron sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.