Mount Joy, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Mount Joy

Mount Joy is a Republican stronghold. About 11% of voters here vote Democratic and 89% Republican.

 
Mount Joy, TX block-group political-lean map
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About 77% of adults in Mount Joy typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mount Joy, ~9% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Mount Joy, TX block-group voter-turnout map
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How Mount Joy compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Mount Joy leans more Republican than 31 of 64 neighbors.

Mount Joy runs about 64 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mount Joy. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+79) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+66), a spread of about 14 points.

Why Mount Joy leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mount Joy, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 84% of households in Mount Joy are family households, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Mount Joy sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 85% of cities).

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Mount Joy, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Mount Joy looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Mount Joy own their home, about 16 points above the Texas average of 75%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Mount Joy sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Cities with Similar Populations

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.