Mud Mills leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Mud Mills typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mud Mills, ~22% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mud Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mud Mills leans more Republican than 67 of 94 neighbors.
Mud Mills runs about 44 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Mud Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Mud Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mud Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mud Mills votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Mud Mills runs about 44 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Mud Mills, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Mud Mills looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mud Mills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 58% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Sodus, NY R+22
- Lyons, NY R+21
- Newark, NY R+13
- Marbletown, NY R+21
- East Palmyra, NY R+29
- Lock Berlin, NY R+40
- Wayne Center, NY R+39
- Thompson, NY R+34
- Port Gibson, NY R+31
- Gypsum, NY R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adams Basin, NY R+23
- Honey Hill, NC R+23
- Honora, GA R+51
- Limestone, FL R+68
- Carvers, NC D+31
- Shanghai City, IL R+42
- Dora, PA R+75
- Pinnell, AL D+24
- Stephensburg, KY R+64
- Ivanhoe, GA R+62
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.