Naples leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Naples typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Naples, ~30% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Naples compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Naples leans more Republican than 4 of 12 neighbors.
Naples runs about 11 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Naples. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Naples leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Naples, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Naples votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 73%, well above the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Naples, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Naples looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Naples is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Golden Gate, FL R+4
- Naples Park, FL R+20
- Bonita Springs, FL R+24
- Estero, FL R+26
- Coconut, FL R+37
- Marco Island, FL R+31
- Goodland, FL R+37
- San Carlos Park, FL R+22
- Fort Myers Beach, FL R+29
- Immokalee, FL D+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lincoln, NE D+11
- Scottsdale, AZ R+3
- Jersey City, NJ D+46
- Spring, TX R+12
- Santa Ana, CA D+24
- Irvine, CA D+18
- Reno, NV D+7
- Glendale, AZ D+3
- Newark, NJ D+52
- Plano, TX D+3
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.