NE-Sterling leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 32% of adults in NE-Sterling typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in NE-Sterling, ~19% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How NE-Sterling compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, NE-Sterling leans more Democratic than 16 of 33 neighbors.
Politically, NE-Sterling sits close to the rest of California.
Politics vary noticeably by block within NE-Sterling. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+28) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 26 points.
Why NE-Sterling leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in NE-Sterling. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; NE-Sterling, San Bernardino, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in NE-Sterling looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. NE-Sterling is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 14 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 65% of households in NE-Sterling rent, compared to around 50% in nearby neighborhoods. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 34% of adults in NE-Sterling report food insecurity, above 87% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Belevedere, San Bernardino, CA R+3
- Drnag, San Bernardino, CA D+13
- Pacific-Riverside, San Bernardino, CA D+21
- San Gorgonio, Highland, CA D+22
- Lankershim, Highland, CA D+22
- San Andreas, Highland, CA D+13
- Perris Hills, San Bernardino, CA D+26
- Curtis, Highland, CA D+22
- Nena, San Bernardino, CA D+5
- Wilson-Riverside, San Bernardino, CA D+18
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Glenview, Oakland, CA D+79
- Sardis Woods, Charlotte, NC D+14
- San Isidro, Laredo, TX R+9
- Old Naples, Naples, FL R+14
- Steep Brook, Fall River, MA Even
- New Horizons, Santa Ana, CA D+33
- The Congaree Vista, Columbia, SC D+34
- Jefferson Square, Omaha, NE D+43
- Roosevelt, Seattle, WA D+77
- Canaryville, Chicago, IL R+3
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.