Neola leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Neola typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Neola, ~32% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Neola compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Neola leans more Republican than 75 of 142 neighbors.
Neola runs about 25 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Neola leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Neola, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Neola votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 24%, modestly below the Pennsylvania average of 33%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Neola are family households, above 85% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Neola, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Neola looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Neola own their home, about 13 points above the Pennsylvania average of 79%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Saylorsburg, PA R+27
- Sciota, PA R+27
- Brodheadsville, PA R+26
- McMichaels, PA R+13
- Reeders, PA R+8
- Effort, PA R+18
- Minisink Hills, PA R+16
- Gilbert, PA R+32
- Sierra View, PA R+15
- Stroudsburg, PA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hickory Corners, WI R+45
- Morley, NY R+4
- Leatherwood, VA R+34
- Lovingston, VA R+28
- Woodland, IL R+47
- Western Grove, AR R+67
- Davisville, TX R+58
- Mount Vision, NY R+25
- Wind Lake, WI R+26
- Yates City, IL R+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.