Effort leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 87% of adults in Effort typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Effort, ~36% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~13% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Effort compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Effort leans more Republican than 52 of 142 neighbors.
Effort runs about 17 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Effort. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+28) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Effort leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Effort, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Effort votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 31%, about 5 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Effort are family households, above 87% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Effort, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Effort looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Effort own their home, about 13 points above the Pennsylvania average of 79%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sierra View, PA R+15
- McMichaels, PA R+13
- Indian Mountain Lake, PA R+11
- Gilbert, PA R+32
- Brodheadsville, PA R+26
- Robin Hood Lakes, PA R+34
- Neola, PA R+27
- Kresgeville, PA R+39
- Kunkletown, PA R+40
- Albrightsville, PA R+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Laughlin, NV R+21
- Princeton, NC R+48
- St. Joseph, MN R+19
- Watford City, ND R+69
- St. Pauls, NC R+17
- Los Altos Hills, CA D+23
- Summit Park, UT D+36
- Westmoreland, TN R+69
- Folkston, GA R+34
- Hillsboro, TX R+30
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.